Pete Bouchard

Toasting The Cold & Snow

Posted by Pete Bouchard

First off, Happy New Year! Hoping that 2014 brings you good health and happiness.

Now it's time to be the bad guy (if you don't like snow, cold and winter, that is).

Our storm is sprawled across a good part of the Plains and the part of the Southeast:

Wha? I know, it doesn't look burly and bad (not like the Weather Channel's Hercules would suggest), but we don't need it to be. We're remaining far removed from the storm center, BUT we have some special conditions that will help us make the flakes pile up.

First off, the fact that the bitter air will dive into the storm will set up a coastal front - a boundary where moisture will collect and focus:

Look at that! 30s on the Cape, single digits Metrowest!! That huge temperature contrast will cause the snow to fall like a flour sifter from Cape Cod to the South Shore.

But this isn't for the entire duration of the storm (and thank goodness for that, because we'd be talking FEET of snow), it's in a small window late Thursday and into Friday morning. Nonetheless, it's where we've painted our highest totals of 10-12 inches:

Now I know what you're thinking. "There isn't much of a difference between 8-10 and 10-12." You're right. The fact that we're getting a hair less Metrowest is because of the cold, dry air. It creates what we call the "fluff factor", almost leveling the playing field with higher amounts near the coast.

Second question is probably about the lower amounts in Southern Rhody and out to the 'Shire. There are some pockets and voids in all nor'easters and this one is no exception. JR, Chris and I have even mulled over the idea that some communities in the 8-10 range could even come away with as little as 6-7 inches of snow - especially in Southern NH and the Merrimack Valley.

Any way you slice it, this will be a big storm....but not a blockbuster. Part of the reason is that the storm will be two-pronged with a big lull in the middle (tomorrow afternoon). This pause takes away some of the bite, but it is also an area of concern in the forecast. What if the snow is too feeble in the first phase and not widespread (or heavy) enough in the second? It's the stuff that keeps us up at night, but sometimes we need to just step away from the weather maps and go with what we know (which is what I highlighted above).

Alright enough thinking out loud. 'Bout time to get this show underway. Timeline details are in the forecast.

Pete

Chris Lambert

50/50 Weekend

Posted by Chris Lambert

We're off to an iffy start to the weekend as nuisance rain and wet snow moves across the area.  While it's not a well organized area of low pressure, it develops right near us midday, and that'll be enough for a tricky forecast.  Light to moderate  rain/snow is on and off early this morning with a heavier burst of precipitation possible late morning, through mid afternoon in eastern MA (11:00AM-3:00PM).

Posted 01/18/14, 6:54am
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Pete Bouchard

Final Days

Posted by Pete Bouchard

That's the way to get it done! Fine finish to the workweek as sun dominated and winds behaved.

I submit that is the one - and perhaps only - reason these days have felt springlike in this extended thaw. If the winds were gusty on a day like today, the sun (albeit a little stronger these days) is really no help.

Posted 01/17/14, 5:06pm
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Jeremy Reiner

Great Mid-Winter Weather

Posted by Jeremy Reiner

Nice mid-winter weather? Here's how I envision it:

*Sunshine

*Mild temps (40 or higher)

*Little to no wind

That last bullet point (IMO) is probably the biggest when outside this time of year. After our morning fog lifts out of here all three of those criteria will be met this afternoon AND.....it's Friday. #Winning.

Posted 01/17/14, 7:04am
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Pete Bouchard

Colder Temperatures Cometh

Posted by Pete Bouchard

As far as blah days go, this was the blahest.

Fog blanketed the area as winds remained light and variable. We're still looking at some fog, but the thickest part of it should only be during the first half of the night. After that, gentle winds should "mix out" some of the heavily fogged in areas.

Posted 01/16/14, 5:24pm
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