Pete Bouchard

Diving Into The Clouds

Posted by Pete Bouchard

Back to the peace and quiet today. Winds were back to their normal selves too. Just enough to stir the air and keep the temperatures in the mid/upper 60s.

You notice anything about this October? Little dry? Yeah. Bright? Sure.

The obvious: it's missing the cold air. I mean we just had a strong cold front pass, and we still saw temperatures in the upper 60s today. Sure the mornings are chilly, but who's garden has been wiped out by a frost or freeze? I don't see deep cold anytime soon, but there is a headache brewing over the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

No, it's not a tropical system. It's what we call a cut-off low. Although a rarity 20+ years ago, these days they're quite common. They can set up anywhere. Here's one out west:

Note how the storm is abandoned - "cut-off" from the jetstream which moves storms along. Here's another, smack dab in the Southern Plains:

The blue colors are the upper level winds. Note that the cut-off has its own mini jetstream - a scary prospect for a storm left to wander. The more wind it circulates, the better your chances for flooding rains - or in winter, heavy snow. 

Thankfully, with our little buddy off the Carolina coast is NOT loaded with strong wind and water. And for that reason, our showers will be light and spotty throughout the late workweek and weekend.

Timing? A noble concept, but in this case a foolhardy one too. Each pulse of rain will have its own track and timing as it peels off the storm, rotates through Southern New England and returns to the "mother ship". We'll just have to take each one as it comes.

That said, it seems like a ceasefire may be in order for the weekend as the storm center wobbles a little farther south. At this point, with very little certain and confidence low, we'll just have to see how that pans out over the next three days.

Pete

Chris Lambert

50/50 Weekend

Posted by Chris Lambert

We're off to an iffy start to the weekend as nuisance rain and wet snow moves across the area.  While it's not a well organized area of low pressure, it develops right near us midday, and that'll be enough for a tricky forecast.  Light to moderate  rain/snow is on and off early this morning with a heavier burst of precipitation possible late morning, through mid afternoon in eastern MA (11:00AM-3:00PM).

Posted 01/18/14, 6:54am
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Pete Bouchard

Final Days

Posted by Pete Bouchard

That's the way to get it done! Fine finish to the workweek as sun dominated and winds behaved.

I submit that is the one - and perhaps only - reason these days have felt springlike in this extended thaw. If the winds were gusty on a day like today, the sun (albeit a little stronger these days) is really no help.

Posted 01/17/14, 5:06pm
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Jeremy Reiner

Great Mid-Winter Weather

Posted by Jeremy Reiner

Nice mid-winter weather? Here's how I envision it:

*Sunshine

*Mild temps (40 or higher)

*Little to no wind

That last bullet point (IMO) is probably the biggest when outside this time of year. After our morning fog lifts out of here all three of those criteria will be met this afternoon AND.....it's Friday. #Winning.

Posted 01/17/14, 7:04am
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Pete Bouchard

Colder Temperatures Cometh

Posted by Pete Bouchard

As far as blah days go, this was the blahest.

Fog blanketed the area as winds remained light and variable. We're still looking at some fog, but the thickest part of it should only be during the first half of the night. After that, gentle winds should "mix out" some of the heavily fogged in areas.

Posted 01/16/14, 5:24pm
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