Pete Bouchard

One Storm To Rule Them All?

Posted by Pete Bouchard

"The board is set, the pieces are moving."

We're on the eve of what could be the biggest snowstorm in almost a decade.

We're drawing comparisons with the Blizzards of 2005 and 2003 (22.5" and 27.5" - greatest all time in Boston). Yes, that much snow will hammer the Commonwealth. Confidence is high, the models are jiving and you need to take this threat seriously.

With such a large, long duration storm, where do we get started? How about the timeline?

Startup: Early morning tomorrow. Pacing is intermittent and light. 2-4 by afternoon. There will likely be mixing - or even plain rain - along the South Shore much of SE Mass. including the Cape and Islands. This is where a lot of us will be standing around saying "what storm?"

Phase two of the storm will then engage after dark tomorrow evening. Heavy bands will erupt from our developing offshore nor'easter/blizzard and snowstorm "feeder bands" (these nor'easters are cousins of hurricanes...sharing some similar characteristics like wind and wave generation) will start wrapping back over New England.

As snowfall rates increase beyond the point where plows can keep up, roads are likely to become impassable near or after midnight Friday night into early Saturday morning. If you attempt to travel, it is possible you may become stranded. Don't be that person.

Snow will continue - intense and unyielding - through Saturday morning and into the late morning hours. Thereafter, we can emerge and start cleanup.

Things we're working on:

Who gets three feet?!? Tough call. In storms like this, the convective (Huh? Think t-storms) nature makes it impossible to tackle ahead of the event. When we're in it, we'll know. Keep in mind folks, there may be multiple sweet spots or bullseyes. That happened in the Blizzard of 2005.

The REAL endgame of the storm. We'll leave it at Saturday afternoon, but the last flakes may not fly until Saturday EVENING.

Cape Cod snowfall. Always a moving target. Mix/rain early Friday will cut down on amounts, but we'll really make hay when the storm cranks on Friday afternoon/Saturday AM.

More later.

Pete

Chris Lambert

50/50 Weekend

Posted by Chris Lambert

We're off to an iffy start to the weekend as nuisance rain and wet snow moves across the area.  While it's not a well organized area of low pressure, it develops right near us midday, and that'll be enough for a tricky forecast.  Light to moderate  rain/snow is on and off early this morning with a heavier burst of precipitation possible late morning, through mid afternoon in eastern MA (11:00AM-3:00PM).

Posted 01/18/14, 6:54am
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Pete Bouchard

Final Days

Posted by Pete Bouchard

That's the way to get it done! Fine finish to the workweek as sun dominated and winds behaved.

I submit that is the one - and perhaps only - reason these days have felt springlike in this extended thaw. If the winds were gusty on a day like today, the sun (albeit a little stronger these days) is really no help.

Posted 01/17/14, 5:06pm
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Jeremy Reiner

Great Mid-Winter Weather

Posted by Jeremy Reiner

Nice mid-winter weather? Here's how I envision it:

*Sunshine

*Mild temps (40 or higher)

*Little to no wind

That last bullet point (IMO) is probably the biggest when outside this time of year. After our morning fog lifts out of here all three of those criteria will be met this afternoon AND.....it's Friday. #Winning.

Posted 01/17/14, 7:04am
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Pete Bouchard

Colder Temperatures Cometh

Posted by Pete Bouchard

As far as blah days go, this was the blahest.

Fog blanketed the area as winds remained light and variable. We're still looking at some fog, but the thickest part of it should only be during the first half of the night. After that, gentle winds should "mix out" some of the heavily fogged in areas.

Posted 01/16/14, 5:24pm
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