Pete Bouchard

Playing Out Sandy's Strike

Posted by Pete Bouchard

Late this afternoon, on a group conference call with Louis Uccellini, the director of the National Center for Environmental Prediction, and James Franklin, branch chief of the National Hurricane Center, I was struck by the confidence they showed with

1) Sandy's landfall in the United States

2) The time of landfall (Monday Night)

In a time of uncertainty, it was nice to know we're confident - and can prepare - for those outcomes. Dr. Uccellini was about 90% certain of a landfall in the Northeast Monday Night.

So the time to prepare is now. Although you may hear reports that Sandy has weakened to a tropical storm - clearly a possibility in the days and hours ahead, this is only temporary. As the jetstream hooks into Sandy on Monday, it will enfuse her with massive amounts of energy, resulting in a reintensification of the storm - to possibily a nor'easter of record, in fact.

That's significant because as the storm drops from hurricane to tropical storm, its ability to pile up water and churn the ocean decreases. However, with a restrengthening, that ability is renewed. Moreover, if Sandy decides to loop farther offshore, the greater her chances of striking New England.

Lots of things to consider in the long range. That's why it's important to be vigilant, but not panicked.

Prepare for scattered power outages, a long duration storm (from Monday through Tuesday night), 2-5 inches of rain (possible river flooding as a result) and coastal flooding and beach erosion.

These matters are not to be taken lightly, but with a track over New England looking LESS likely, we are not looking at an epic, devastating storm.

Pete

Chris Lambert

50/50 Weekend

Posted by Chris Lambert

We're off to an iffy start to the weekend as nuisance rain and wet snow moves across the area.  While it's not a well organized area of low pressure, it develops right near us midday, and that'll be enough for a tricky forecast.  Light to moderate  rain/snow is on and off early this morning with a heavier burst of precipitation possible late morning, through mid afternoon in eastern MA (11:00AM-3:00PM).

Posted 01/18/14, 6:54am
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Pete Bouchard

Final Days

Posted by Pete Bouchard

That's the way to get it done! Fine finish to the workweek as sun dominated and winds behaved.

I submit that is the one - and perhaps only - reason these days have felt springlike in this extended thaw. If the winds were gusty on a day like today, the sun (albeit a little stronger these days) is really no help.

Posted 01/17/14, 5:06pm
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Jeremy Reiner

Great Mid-Winter Weather

Posted by Jeremy Reiner

Nice mid-winter weather? Here's how I envision it:

*Sunshine

*Mild temps (40 or higher)

*Little to no wind

That last bullet point (IMO) is probably the biggest when outside this time of year. After our morning fog lifts out of here all three of those criteria will be met this afternoon AND.....it's Friday. #Winning.

Posted 01/17/14, 7:04am
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Pete Bouchard

Colder Temperatures Cometh

Posted by Pete Bouchard

As far as blah days go, this was the blahest.

Fog blanketed the area as winds remained light and variable. We're still looking at some fog, but the thickest part of it should only be during the first half of the night. After that, gentle winds should "mix out" some of the heavily fogged in areas.

Posted 01/16/14, 5:24pm
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